hindcasts

It’s one that could be answered by demonstrating the stability of this approach by validation against future predictions (cross validation on hindcasts is another way, but is less convincing).

Climate Science and Software Quality | Serendipity 2010

Once the surface record is properly analyzed the whole AGW edifice is going to come crashing down because the “hindcasts” will be hindcasts of junk and the models will be shown to be fudged.

Dulan Response Coefficients « Climate Audit 2007

There is a large literature of model hindcasts on recent history and more distant prehistory, including test cases, such as model behavour following Pinatubo or strong El Ninos.

IPCC AR4: No skill in scientific forecasting « Climate Audit 2007

There is a large literature of model hindcasts on recent history and more distant prehistory, including test cases, such as model behavour following Pinatubo or strong El Ninos.

IPCC AR4: No skill in scientific forecasting « Climate Audit 2007

There is a large literature of model hindcasts on recent history and more distant prehistory, including test cases, such as model behavour following Pinatubo or strong El Ninos.

IPCC AR4: No skill in scientific forecasting « Climate Audit 2007

A couple of years ago, I took a look at the model hindcasts used in the Santer et al. paper about tropical tropospheric temperatures, “Amplification of Surface Temperature Trends and Variability in the Tropical Atmosphere.”

Solar Proxies « Climate Audit 2007

NOAA and HadCRUT red and orange are observational data, the rest are model hindcasts.

Solar Proxies « Climate Audit 2007

Why skip two years and then refer to 2005-2006 hindcasts?

Atlantic Hurricane Track Versions « Climate Audit 2007

NOAA and HadCRUT red and orange are observational data, the rest are model hindcasts.

Solar Proxies « Climate Audit 2007

ECMWF has done hindcasts for the period 1993-2003, then actual forecasts starting in 2004.

YTD Hurricane Activity « Climate Audit 2007